Outlook Potsdam Jun 2026

: Strategic insights on Designing Coastal Adaptation to address rising sea levels and intensifying extreme weather events. Related Research Organizations

| Scenario | Description | Probability | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | | Major powers agree on climate-security binding targets; a new “Potsdam Council” for environmental conflict mediation is established. | Low (15%) | | 2. Fragmented Adaptation | No grand bargain; instead, regional blocs (EU, ASEAN, US-led) adopt Potsdam-style risk assessments unilaterally. | High (50%) | | 3. Climate Cold War | Rival CDR and geoengineering projects lead to accusations of weather manipulation; Potsdam’s science is politicized. | Medium (25%) | | 4. Historical Irrelevance | Short-term crises (energy, food, war) eclipse long-term planning; Potsdam becomes a museum piece. | Low (10%) | outlook potsdam